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We currently show predictive and statistical data for the following weather conditions/perils. For NatCat perils other than wildfire, the risk shown is from the MetSwift Standard Statistical model. Wildfire risk is delivered through a predictive model:

  • Continuous variables (risk calculated on a threshold basis where observations are >= or <= a user defined threshold)
    • Temperature (minimum, mean, and maximum for daily, instantaneous for hourly)
    • Wind (Maximum speed and maximum wind gust for daily, maximum speed for hourly)
    • Rainfall (Daily, weekly, and monthly accumulations for daily, hourly accumulations for hourly)
    • Snow (Maximum depth for daily and hourly)
  • Discrete variables (observations are binary ‘observed’ or ‘unobserved’)
    • Hail
    • Fog
    • Thunderstorm
    • Dust Storm
  • Categorical variables (risk calculated for pre-defined categories)
    • Tropical Storm (Uses different categories depending on the country, categories are defined based on wind speeds, only storms that would be Tropical Storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale and above are included)
    • Earthquake (Uses the moment magnitude scale, only magnitude 4 and above are included)
    • Tornadoes (US only, uses the Enhanced Fujita scale, all categories are included)
  • Other
    • Wildfire (risk is a percentage chance of an active fire becoming a wildfire based on both atmospheric and geological variables)
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