The Global Reach of MetSwift’s Predictive Wildfire Model

Having explored some standout predicted wildfire risks in the contiguous US in my last blog, this time we’re casting our eyes well beyond, even to the far side of the planet. Early to Mid-March in Central-Eastern South America First off, we’re looking mainly at southern and eastern Brazil. Here in early to mid-March, the predicted […]
Exploring MetSwift’s Predictive Wildfire Risk Model

Following on from the introduction of MetSwift’s predictive wildfire risk model in my last blog post, let’s look at some of its predictions for 2025 in the contiguous US. Specifically, a few weeks and regions where notably higher risk is predicted on top of an already relatively high climatology. First up, early June in the […]
South California Wildfires: Sadly On-Trend

Wildfires. Uncontrolled infernos that can span tens, hundreds, or even thousands of square kilometres. Fuelled by anything remotely flammable that they connect with, be it forests, croplands, or buildings, to name a few. In the US alone, individual wildfire seasons have inflicted damages up to $30 billion (inflation-adjusted to 2024 USD). At the time of […]
2024 Arctic Sea Ice Melting Season: Surprisingly Strong?

The 2024 Arctic sea ice melting season is very likely at an end, with both of the main coverage measures – extent and area – trending upward during the past week. According to NSIDC, 2024’s sea ice extent minimum was likely set on 11th September, at 4.28 million square km, which is 7th lowest in […]
The 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season – What’s Going On?

This year’s Atlantic hurricane season is proving to be one of the least well predicted of the 21st Century to date. Not in terms of how active tropical cyclones are behaving – the NHC are going a fantastic job there as usual – but how active the season is overall. What follows here is a […]
Soggy Sahel in 2024 – Causes & Prospects

During the past 6-8 weeks, the southern Sahara, primarily known as the Sahel or Sub-Saharan Africa, has been… strangely rainy. Locations in the likes of Sudan and Mauritania, which typically see 60-70 mm during that time (equivalent to a typical March in southern England – the Sahel is not part of the Sahara desert), have […]
The Stress of Humidity on Humanity

A detailed dive into humidity’s role in heat stress, with a focus on the summer season, when it’s a key factor separating ‘a bit of hot weather’ from a dangerous heatwave.
Why Has Summer 2024’s Opening Half Been So Peculiar in Europe?

Drawing upon links between historical sea surface temperature and European weather patterns, our Head Meteorologist delivers insights on the cause of Europe’s unusual weather during the first half of summer 2024.
Wobbly Wimbledon Weather

Following a traditional medley so far, our Head Meteorologist rounds up the weather prospects for the remainder of Wimbledon 2024, and overviews signs that summer may make more of a comeback later in July.
A Fine Outlook for Glastonbury Festival 2024

Our Head Meteorologist overviews how the weather’s looking for the largest greenfield music festival in the world.